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Aarhus vs Sonderjyske prediction

2026-10-12 · DNK · Kickoff 2026-10-12T17:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Aarhus vs Sonderjyske match analysis

What is the Aarhus vs Sonderjyske prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Aarhus (H) at 60.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 82.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:42+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 60.2%

Medium
1 60.2%X 22.3%2 17.4%
Double chance

1X · 82.6%

Low
1X 82.6%X2 39.8%12 77.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:42+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 60.2%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings47.5%31.2%21.2%
Market · margin removed60.2%22.3%17.4%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson50.6%24.0%25.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Aarhus

LLDLD

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-09-20Horsens (A)2–2
2026-09-13Nordsjaelland (A)0–2
2026-09-05Silkeborg (H)2–2
2026-09-02Midtjylland (H)0–2
2026-08-30Randers FC (A)1–2

Sonderjyske

LLLDW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 2.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-20Randers FC (H)4–2
2026-09-13Lyngby (A)1–1
2026-09-06Horsens (H)2–5
2026-08-31FC Copenhagen (A)1–3
2026-08-23Nordsjaelland (H)0–3

Head to head

2026-05-03 · Aarhus 2–1 Sonderjyske

2026-03-15 · Sonderjyske 1–1 Aarhus

2025-11-09 · Aarhus 2–3 Sonderjyske

2025-07-20 · Sonderjyske 1–1 Aarhus

2025-02-16 · Sonderjyske 1–4 Aarhus

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:42+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: cc1702ebd3287ed764d48a21a9815e7101cb53a466ec1648af7b995f7d0de8f5
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →