YOUR MATCHDAY, IN FOCUS
Explore the results Football predictions, with the facts.
Clear picks. Match evidence. Every result on the record.
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Top Predictions
Upcoming picks where our model gives the predicted home or away winner at least a 50% chance. Click a pick for stats.
Results summary
Probability scores & record details
Loading fixtures…1X2 · Double chance
1 Home win · X Draw · 2 Away win
1X Home or draw · X2 Draw or away · 12 Either team wins. Full-time including stoppage time; excludes extra time.
Football market sentiment
0 fixtures with fresh, comparable market prices. Our predictions remain separate.
THE KICKSTATIX STANDARD
A good prediction needs a visible record.
Every forecast is saved before kickoff. The misses stay beside the wins, with league and confidence breakdowns.
See the complete record →Football scores
Confirmed match status, updated automatically.
League tables
The complete record
All published 1X2 forecasts, including incorrect picks.
1X2 by league
1X2 by confidence tier
League × confidence
Do the probabilities hold up?
Probability against actual frequency. The diagonal is perfect calibration.
Double chance · a separate record
Every prediction, in order
Evidence before upgrades
Chronological tests. Failed experiments included.
Earlier source-policy experiment
What the scores mean
- Log-loss
- Penalizes confident mistakes. Lower is better.
- Brier score
- Squared probability error summed over home/draw/away. Range 0–2; lower is better.
- Calibration
- A 60% outcome should occur about 60% of the time across enough forecasts. Bin counts matter.
- RPS
- Ordered probability error for home/draw/away, divided by two. Range 0–1.