Aarhus vs Viborg prediction
V2026-10-25 · DNK · Kickoff 2026-10-25T18:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Aarhus vs Viborg prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Aarhus (H) at 40.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:56:55+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 40.3%
Low12 · 74.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:56:55+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 40.3%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 38.7% | 35.6% | 25.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 40.3% | 25.3% | 34.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 47.8% | 25.0% | 27.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Aarhus
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Viborg
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-08-14 · Viborg 2–1 Aarhus
2026-05-17 · Aarhus 6–2 Viborg
2026-04-06 · Viborg 1–2 Aarhus
2026-02-22 · Aarhus 5–2 Viborg
2025-09-14 · Viborg 1–2 Aarhus
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: d58c5ea5a813a5dacecf0e5662899706ac69da2c94e2ac3fb5e714aaf1e2fbca
Model: existing-source-policy-v1