AC Oulu vs HJK prediction
H2026-10-12 · FIN · Kickoff 2026-10-12T16:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the AC Oulu vs HJK prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: HJK (A) at 55.9%. The double-chance call is X2 at 79.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:51+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–4
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 55.9%
MediumX2 · 79.3%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:51+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 55.9%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 19%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 24.5% | 34.5% | 41.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 20.7% | 23.4% | 55.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 18.3% | 21.8% | 60.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
AC Oulu
Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
HJK
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-08-09 · AC Oulu 0–1 HJK
2026-04-11 · HJK 0–1 AC Oulu
2025-07-20 · HJK 3–1 AC Oulu
2025-06-14 · AC Oulu 0–4 HJK
2024-07-27 · HJK 3–0 AC Oulu
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: 3c17911e6dc06db4369edcf582f4d32999b5de89a4203c8ec7741a45bade4bb6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1