Accrington vs Cheltenham prediction
C2026-10-03 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Accrington vs Cheltenham prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Accrington (H) at 42.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:18:34+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 42.2%
Low12 · 73.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:18:34+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 42.2%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 16%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 28.7% | 38.7% | 32.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 42.2% | 26.5% | 31.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 44.3% | 24.5% | 31.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Accrington
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Cheltenham
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-01-31 · Accrington 3–1 Cheltenham
2025-09-06 · Cheltenham 1–0 Accrington
2025-01-28 · Accrington 0–0 Cheltenham
2024-10-01 · Cheltenham 2–1 Accrington
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-26
Data fingerprint: ab661affba5bcd8769bf8a316072826a7a6fb7ae508afc15510eb6c0163c5bb2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1