AEK vs OFI Crete prediction
OC2026-10-10 · G1 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the AEK vs OFI Crete prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: AEK (H) at 78.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 93.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:32+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 78.5%
Low1X · 93.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:32+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 78.5%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 56.8% | 26.6% | 16.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 78.5% | 14.7% | 6.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 78.8% | 14.4% | 6.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
AEK
Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 0.60
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
OFI Crete
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2025-12-21 · AEK 2–1 OFI Crete
2025-11-09 · OFI Crete 0–1 AEK
2024-12-08 · OFI Crete 1–2 AEK
2024-08-18 · AEK 3–0 OFI Crete
2024-01-28 · AEK 3–0 OFI Crete
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 26573149c35a9dd42438480796dadb5adf16a351bdbe28503d2b662be491f1ac
Model: existing-source-policy-v1