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AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage prediction

2026-10-03 · E2 · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage match analysis

What is the AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Stevenage (A) at 38.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 69.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-09-26T14:00:48+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 38.5%

Low
1 31.0%X 30.5%2 38.5%
Double chance

12 · 69.5%

Low
1X 61.5%X2 69.0%12 69.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-09-26T14:00:48+00:00, before kickoff.

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

Quote captured 2026-10-03T12:48:12+00:00. 11.8 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-03T13:00:06+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 37.6%

Awaiting result

1 37.6%2 26.5%X 35.8%
Market double chance prediction

1X · 73.5%

Awaiting result

12 64.2%1X 73.5%X2 62.4%
TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; A has probability 38.5%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 8%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
Method1X2
Elo ratings28.1%38.1%33.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson30.3%30.5%39.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-09-26T14:00:48+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: a9df948278d0714b1086b619b9800989946521f6351fb5d7f2f1c777cf662c96
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →