Airdrie Utd vs Montrose prediction
M2026-10-03 · SC2 · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Airdrie Utd vs Montrose prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Airdrie Utd (H) at 52.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:18:51+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 52.1%
Low12 · 76.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:18:51+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 52.1%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 41.0% | 34.5% | 24.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 52.1% | 23.9% | 24.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 63.1% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Airdrie Utd
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Montrose
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2023-04-08 · Airdrie Utd 3–0 Montrose
2022-12-23 · Montrose 2–4 Airdrie Utd
2022-10-29 · Airdrie Utd 4–0 Montrose
2022-10-04 · Montrose 4–2 Airdrie Utd
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: 8dd95cf37af2263231e153f1357a93a7694fcdca1868a0b506c21cf1e8a6d284
Model: existing-source-policy-v1