Ajax vs Excelsior prediction
E
2026-09-19 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T18:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Ajax vs Excelsior prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Ajax (H) at 79.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 91.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:12:05+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 79.3%
Low1X · 91.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:12:05+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 79.3%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 25%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 54.4% | 27.8% | 17.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 79.3% | 12.6% | 8.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 77.0% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-15
Data fingerprint: f02e06eb0c966449bd4f00ffc65f2343b27699b516ab08ee3f39edd3b57b6766
Model: existing-source-policy-v1