Albacete vs Eldense prediction

2026-10-25 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-25T15:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Albacete vs Eldense match analysis

What is the Albacete vs Eldense prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Albacete (H) at 42.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:17+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

GG · 59.0%

✕ Wrong

GG 59.0%NG 41.0%

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Over 2.5 · 54.5%

✕ Wrong

Over 2.5 54.5%Under 2.5 45.5%

1X2

1 · 42.6%

Low

1 42.6%X 26.9%2 30.5%

Double chance

12 · 73.1%

Low

1X 69.5%X2 57.4%12 73.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:17+00:00, before kickoff.

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-10-25T14:15:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-10-25T14:10:59+00:00. 4.0 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-25T14:15:07+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 42.5%

✓ Correct

1 42.5%2 30.0%X 27.5%

Market double chance prediction

12 · 72.5%

✓ Correct

12 72.5%1X 70.0%X2 57.5%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-10T20:05:05+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Albacete	42.6%	100.0%	N/A
Draw	26.9%	0.0%	N/A
Eldense	30.5%	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$12.45K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$10.90K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

Probability movement · raw market prices

Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.

Albacete

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample+50.5 pp49.5% → 100.0%

Draw

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample-50.5 pp50.5% → 0.0%

Eldense

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample-49.5 pp49.5% → 0.0%

All event markets · 3

Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-10-25?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%

Volume $9.10K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5598147
Fetched 2026-11-10T20:05:05+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-26T17:50:50.573155Z

Will Albacete Balompié vs. CD Eldense end in a draw?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $658 · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5598150
Fetched 2026-11-10T20:05:05+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-26T17:12:49.287543Z

Will CD Eldense win on 2026-10-25?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $2.69K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5598156
Fetched 2026-11-10T20:05:05+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-26T17:16:50.904676Z

Historical closing observations (not scored)

Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.

Last pre-match observation: 2026-10-25T15:13:40+00:00.

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods

The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 42.6%.
Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 19%. Confidence reduced to Low.
Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.

Method	1	X	2
Elo ratings	34.4%	37.8%	27.8%
Market · margin removed	42.6%	26.9%	30.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson	53.0%	23.7%	23.3%

Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Albacete

LLLLL

Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-17Sp Gijon (A)1–2

2026-10-12Valladolid (A)0–5

2026-10-03Eibar (H)1–3

2026-09-25Girona (A)0–2

2026-09-18Cordoba (H)1–2

Eldense

LLWWW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-18Valladolid (A)3–2

2026-10-10Cordoba (H)2–1

2026-10-02Oviedo (H)4–1

2026-09-27Burgos (A)0–1

2026-09-19Eibar (H)1–2

Head to head

2025-02-23 · Albacete 0–1 Eldense

2024-11-16 · Eldense 2–0 Albacete

2024-04-21 · Eldense 0–1 Albacete

2023-12-19 · Albacete 1–1 Eldense

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:10:17+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 13e6f170423536a48d5cb0b90ed806e30c8aed6fc08edb7e57efac43aab3ae9e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →