Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Aldershot vs Carlisle prediction

2026-10-03 · EC · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Aldershot vs Carlisle match analysis

What is the Aldershot vs Carlisle prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Carlisle (A) at 47.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:18:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–3

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 47.5%

Low
1 28.2%X 24.3%2 47.5%
Double chance

12 · 75.7%

Low
1X 52.5%X2 71.8%12 75.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:18:36+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 47.5%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 14%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings25.8%35.8%38.4%
Market · margin removed28.2%24.3%47.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson29.2%21.6%49.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-30. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Aldershot

WDLWL

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-29Hornchurch (A)1–2
2026-09-26Tamworth (H)5–1
2026-09-19Barrow (A)0–1
2026-09-15Yeovil (H)1–1
2026-09-12Solihull (A)2–1

Carlisle

DDLLW

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-09-29Fylde (A)2–0
2026-09-26Woking (H)2–5
2026-09-19Eastleigh (A)0–1
2026-09-15Forest Green (H)1–1
2026-09-12Southend (H)2–2

Head to head

2026-03-10 · Aldershot 0–2 Carlisle

2025-09-13 · Carlisle 2–0 Aldershot

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-02T09:18:36+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-30
Data fingerprint: 1baa92182415e7a586104b833a48e57c345a00eae00fc0e4fab0f2f939b59612
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →