Aldershot vs Gateshead prediction
G
2026-10-31 · EC · Kickoff 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Aldershot vs Gateshead prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Aldershot (H) at 61.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 83.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:27+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 61.7%
Low1X · 83.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:27+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 61.7%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 40.0% | 35.0% | 25.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 61.7% | 21.6% | 16.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 42.8% | 22.2% | 34.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-28. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Aldershot
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Gateshead
Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 2.70
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-11 · Aldershot 0–1 Gateshead
2025-08-30 · Gateshead 3–3 Aldershot
2025-03-08 · Aldershot 3–1 Gateshead
2024-11-16 · Gateshead 2–2 Aldershot
2024-04-17 · Gateshead 0–1 Aldershot
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-28
Data fingerprint: 74601733388494e21188838b0429b1efe5aaabb8a9c7c928afff94a9fb9e7756
Model: existing-source-policy-v1