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Alloa vs Hamilton prediction

2026-10-10 · SC2 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Alloa vs Hamilton match analysis

What is the Alloa vs Hamilton prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Hamilton (A) at 53.2%. The double-chance call is X2 at 77.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:44+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–3

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 53.2%

Low
1 22.3%X 24.4%2 53.2%
Double chance

X2 · 77.7%

Low
1X 46.8%X2 77.7%12 75.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:44+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 53.2%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 16%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings26.6%36.6%36.8%
Market · margin removed22.3%24.4%53.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson27.8%26.3%45.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Alloa

DDLLL

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-03Ross County (A)1–4
2026-09-19East Kilbride (H)1–2
2026-09-12Airdrie Utd (A)0–1
2026-09-05Cove Rangers (A)1–1
2026-08-29Peterhead (H)1–1

Hamilton

DWWWW

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 0.50
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-10-03Peterhead (H)2–1
2026-09-19Queen of Sth (H)4–1
2026-09-05East Kilbride (A)1–0
2026-08-29Cove Rangers (H)1–0
2026-08-22East Fife (A)0–0

Head to head

2026-08-08 · Hamilton 1–0 Alloa

2026-04-11 · Hamilton 1–0 Alloa

2026-02-21 · Alloa 3–0 Hamilton

2025-12-20 · Hamilton 1–0 Alloa

2025-08-23 · Alloa 1–0 Hamilton

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:44+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-03
Data fingerprint: dc26ad916432b274eae63eeb9e714698f23a9265ee19cf096b3678cf791c835f
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →