Annecy vs Nancy prediction
N
2026-10-16 · F2 · Kickoff 2026-10-16T18:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Annecy vs Nancy prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Nancy (A) at 40.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:52+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 40.0%
Low12 · 71.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:52+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-16T16:56:17+00:00. 3.7 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-16T17:00:04+00:00.
2 · 41.7%
✓ CorrectX2 · 73.4%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annecy | 31.2% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 28.8% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Nancy | 40.0% | 100.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Annecy
Draw
Nancy
All event markets · 3
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-10-16?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $7.68K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5226969Fetched 2026-11-10T23:41:41+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-17T20:01:32.623341Z
Will FC Annecy vs. AS Nancy-Lorraine end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $2.94K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5226970Fetched 2026-11-10T23:41:41+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-17T19:55:28.66345Z
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-10-16?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $43.98K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5226971Fetched 2026-11-10T23:41:41+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-17T21:51:26.871367Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-10-16T17:57:32+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 40.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 19%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 42.0% | 34.0% | 24.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 31.2% | 28.8% | 40.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 50.1% | 25.8% | 24.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Annecy
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Nancy
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-17 · Nancy 1–5 Annecy
2025-09-23 · Annecy 1–2 Nancy
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 75eed4068c74594140e29c2389560d301b0ccca5d67af29efc282c42de4ec944
Model: existing-source-policy-v1