Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Arbroath vs Ayr prediction

2026-11-07 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Arbroath vs Ayr match analysis

What is the Arbroath vs Ayr prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Ayr (A) at 39.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:28:06+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 4–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 39.8%

Low
1 32.6%X 27.5%2 39.8%
Double chance

12 · 72.5%

Low
1X 60.2%X2 67.4%12 72.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:28:06+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 39.8%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings31.7%39.1%29.1%
Market · margin removed32.6%27.5%39.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson25.3%24.9%49.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-31. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Arbroath

LLLLL

Scored / game: 0.50
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-31Raith Rvs (H)0–4
2026-10-24Livingston (A)0–1
2026-10-17Inverness C (A)0–2
2026-10-10Morton (H)1–2
2026-10-03Partick (A)0–3

Ayr

LWDLW

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-31Queens Park (H)3–2
2026-10-16Partick (H)0–1
2026-10-10Dunfermline (H)1–1
2026-10-03Livingston (A)2–1
2026-09-25Stenhousemuir (H)0–1

Head to head

2026-08-01 · Ayr 2–0 Arbroath

2026-04-11 · Ayr 1–0 Arbroath

2026-03-03 · Arbroath 1–1 Ayr

2025-11-15 · Ayr 1–1 Arbroath

2025-08-01 · Arbroath 1–1 Ayr

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:28:06+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-31
Data fingerprint: 96e0e725d6d8c2ab6063b00758f1a47d31491b4e146655cdff1e62a5c11bb3a0
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →