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Arbroath vs Morton prediction

2026-10-10 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Arbroath vs Morton match analysis

What is the Arbroath vs Morton prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Arbroath (H) at 52.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:41+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 52.5%

Low
1 52.5%X 26.0%2 21.6%
Double chance

1X · 78.4%

Low
1X 78.4%X2 47.5%12 74.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:41+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 52.5%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings43.6%33.2%23.2%
Market · margin removed52.5%26.0%21.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson31.4%27.4%41.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Arbroath

DLLWL

Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-03Partick (A)0–3
2026-09-25Queens Park (H)2–1
2026-09-19Stenhousemuir (A)0–1
2026-09-12Raith Rvs (A)0–4
2026-09-05Dunfermline (H)1–1

Morton

LLLLL

Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-03Raith Rvs (H)1–2
2026-09-25Inverness C (A)0–2
2026-09-19Dunfermline (H)0–1
2026-09-11Livingston (H)1–4
2026-09-05Queens Park (A)1–2

Head to head

2026-08-22 · Morton 1–2 Arbroath

2026-03-28 · Morton 2–1 Arbroath

2026-01-23 · Arbroath 1–1 Morton

2025-11-08 · Morton 1–0 Arbroath

2025-09-20 · Arbroath 1–1 Morton

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:41+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-03
Data fingerprint: 4019e90b7fe4b7d44f8d04136f15815675aa7e154384d05a0729e870d2121468
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →