Aris vs Iraklis prediction
I2026-09-19 · G1 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Aris vs Iraklis prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Aris (H) at 59.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 83.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:09:57+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 59.0%
Low1X · 83.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:09:57+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 59.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 17%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 42.4% | 33.8% | 23.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 59.0% | 24.2% | 16.8% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 56.1% | 24.6% | 19.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-13
Data fingerprint: 86a97d41ad64487a7dbe6ed3e41f50fe8454ed17abc062cb6e1355b769c63971
Model: existing-source-policy-v1