Aris vs Panetolikos prediction
P2026-11-07 · G1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Aris vs Panetolikos prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Aris (H) at 69.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 88.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:49+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 69.4%
Medium1X · 88.9%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:49+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 69.4%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 18%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 51.4% | 29.3% | 19.3% |
| Market · margin removed | 69.4% | 19.4% | 11.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 59.8% | 24.5% | 15.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Aris
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Panetolikos
Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-01-31 · Panetolikos 0–1 Aris
2025-08-30 · Aris 0–2 Panetolikos
2025-02-23 · Aris 2–1 Panetolikos
2024-11-09 · Panetolikos 2–1 Aris
2024-01-14 · Panetolikos 0–4 Aris
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: 50b18bd9e1537ad8d6477c4a2dfea1d074edd5790b88afae72583ae5e34a8480
Model: existing-source-policy-v1