Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos prediction
A2026-10-10 · G1 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Asteras Tripolis (H) at 39.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:32+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 39.9%
Low12 · 71.4%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:32+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 39.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 10%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 32.5% | 38.7% | 28.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 39.9% | 28.6% | 31.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 35.0% | 29.5% | 35.5% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Asteras Tripolis
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Atromitos
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-02 · Asteras Tripolis 4–2 Atromitos
2026-04-26 · Atromitos 2–1 Asteras Tripolis
2026-02-21 · Asteras Tripolis 1–2 Atromitos
2025-11-30 · Atromitos 0–1 Asteras Tripolis
2025-05-03 · Asteras Tripolis 1–4 Atromitos
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 26573149c35a9dd42438480796dadb5adf16a351bdbe28503d2b662be491f1ac
Model: existing-source-policy-v1