Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction
F2026-10-25 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-25T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Atalanta vs Frosinone prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Atalanta (H) at 53.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 77.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 4–4
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 53.3%
Low12 · 77.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 53.3%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 47.4% | 31.3% | 21.3% |
| Market · margin removed | 53.3% | 22.3% | 24.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 68.8% | 17.3% | 13.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Atalanta
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Frosinone
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2024-01-15 · Atalanta 5–0 Frosinone
2023-08-26 · Frosinone 2–1 Atalanta
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: fb3ec602acc1be05704e0459b1ace93763b3d3a270b704f0d6e43654f1aedcd6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1