Atalanta vs Venezia prediction
V2026-10-12 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-12T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Atalanta vs Venezia prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Atalanta (H) at 61.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 83.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:34+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 61.6%
Medium1X · 83.7%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:34+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 61.6%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 19%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 54.0% | 28.0% | 18.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 61.6% | 22.2% | 16.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 72.5% | 17.3% | 10.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Atalanta
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Venezia
Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
2025-03-01 · Atalanta 0–0 Venezia
2024-10-20 · Venezia 0–2 Atalanta
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 17e0096fedb5f4f347b9280a994a03745dd0e375637af9aded8054f196e8c8c6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1