Ath Bilbao vs Alaves prediction
A
2026-09-19 · SP1 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T14:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Ath Bilbao vs Alaves prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Ath Bilbao (H) at 59.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 82.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:16:35+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 59.0%
Low1X · 82.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:16:35+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 59.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 20%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 38.6% | 35.7% | 25.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 59.0% | 23.6% | 17.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 54.5% | 26.2% | 19.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-17
Data fingerprint: 24f66a09e3e0aca5289fff72e098b9b67203d77f1fc64a3826df29c205f6a07d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1