Athletico-PR vs Bahia prediction
B
2026-09-20 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-09-20T22:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Athletico-PR vs Bahia prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Athletico-PR (H) at 44.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 72.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:03:49+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 44.3%
Low1X · 72.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:03:49+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 44.3%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 19%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 32.8% | 38.6% | 28.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 44.3% | 28.3% | 27.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 52.0% | 26.1% | 21.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-16
Data fingerprint: 26803dfb4c0754fd66b47283c405c54c5837d9e8b99ba3af153d48ef8bdd0e64
Model: existing-source-policy-v1