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Athletico-PR vs Vasco prediction

2026-11-04 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-11-04T22:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Athletico-PR vs Vasco match analysis

What is the Athletico-PR vs Vasco prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Athletico-PR (H) at 46.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-03T10:36:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–3

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 46.3%

Low
1 46.3%X 26.4%2 27.3%
Double chance

12 · 73.6%

Low
1X 72.7%X2 53.7%12 73.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-03T10:36:18+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 46.3%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings41.6%34.2%24.2%
Market · margin removed46.3%26.4%27.3%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson57.2%24.0%18.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-30. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Athletico-PR

DWLDL

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-30Gremio (A)0–2
2026-10-24Vitoria (A)1–1
2026-10-17Palmeiras (H)0–2
2026-10-12Chapecoense-SC (A)4–1
2026-10-09Atletico-MG (H)2–2

Vasco

WDLWL

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-29Flamengo RJ (H)1–4
2026-10-24Corinthians (H)3–2
2026-10-18Sao Paulo (A)0–1
2026-10-10Remo (H)0–0
2026-10-08Botafogo RJ (A)2–1

Head to head

2026-05-11 · Vasco 1–0 Athletico-PR

2024-08-27 · Vasco 2–1 Athletico-PR

2024-05-05 · Athletico-PR 1–0 Vasco

2023-11-25 · Athletico-PR 0–0 Vasco

2023-07-23 · Vasco 0–2 Athletico-PR

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-03T10:36:18+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-30
Data fingerprint: bc917cf76d0474623cd8215de208024fe190ee99d7d3538658c18e7025471e54
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →