Atl. San Luis vs Santos Laguna prediction
SL2026-10-12 · MEX · Kickoff 2026-10-11T23:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Atl. San Luis vs Santos Laguna prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Atl. San Luis (H) at 50.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 75.2%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:57+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 50.1%
Low1X · 75.2%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:57+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 50.1%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 43.7% | 33.1% | 23.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 50.1% | 25.1% | 24.8% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 40.1% | 24.2% | 35.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-28. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Atl. San Luis
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Santos Laguna
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-23 · Atl. San Luis 2–0 Santos Laguna
2025-09-22 · Santos Laguna 1–4 Atl. San Luis
2025-03-31 · Santos Laguna 2–3 Atl. San Luis
2024-09-29 · Atl. San Luis 3–1 Santos Laguna
2024-04-29 · Santos Laguna 0–3 Atl. San Luis
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-28
Data fingerprint: 5608d6cf2bb28ebe771236e5e7e4727f71445d9f339519cb0939b7c77d4f1f2a
Model: existing-source-policy-v1