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Atlanta Utd vs Chicago Fire prediction

2026-10-25 · USA · Kickoff 2026-10-24T23:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Atlanta Utd vs Chicago Fire match analysis

What is the Atlanta Utd vs Chicago Fire prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Chicago Fire (A) at 40.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 77.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:31+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–3

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 40.2%

Low
1 36.9%X 22.9%2 40.2%
Double chance

12 · 77.1%

Low
1X 59.8%X2 63.1%12 77.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:31+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 40.2%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 30%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings26.7%36.7%36.7%
Market · margin removed36.9%22.9%40.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson56.6%22.0%21.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-22. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Atlanta Utd

WDLWL

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-18Inter Miami (H)1–3
2026-10-15CF Montreal (A)3–0
2026-10-11FC Cincinnati (H)1–3
2026-09-27New York City (H)2–2
2026-09-20Portland Timbers (A)1–0

Chicago Fire

WWWLL

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-18New England Revolution (A)0–1
2026-10-15Philadelphia Union (H)1–3
2026-10-10New York City (H)2–1
2026-10-07Vancouver Whitecaps (H)3–1
2026-09-27Charlotte (A)1–0

Head to head

2026-04-12 · Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta Utd

2025-07-17 · Atlanta Utd 2–2 Chicago Fire

2025-05-10 · Chicago Fire 2–1 Atlanta Utd

2024-04-28 · Chicago Fire 0–0 Atlanta Utd

2024-03-31 · Atlanta Utd 3–0 Chicago Fire

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:57:31+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-22
Data fingerprint: b780acd3f5dd54e1237acd03311c2d85a75fa48cc4161372290656503edcf0fe
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →