Atlanta Utd vs Toronto FC prediction
TF2026-11-01 · USA · Kickoff 2026-11-01T21:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Atlanta Utd vs Toronto FC prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Atlanta Utd (H) at 44.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 77.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T08:45:28+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 44.0%
Low12 · 77.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T08:45:28+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 44.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 26%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 30.9% | 39.6% | 29.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 44.0% | 22.9% | 33.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 57.1% | 21.8% | 21.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Atlanta Utd
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Toronto FC
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-25 · Toronto FC 1–2 Atlanta Utd
2025-08-24 · Atlanta Utd 0–0 Toronto FC
2025-07-13 · Toronto FC 1–1 Atlanta Utd
2024-06-30 · Atlanta Utd 2–1 Toronto FC
2024-03-23 · Toronto FC 2–0 Atlanta Utd
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-26
Data fingerprint: 7532a075c7ee8ec5872cb5c169a02482d615b9f720bf1322d3ff328725f98db0
Model: existing-source-policy-v1