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Atlas vs Puebla prediction

2026-10-26 · MEX · Kickoff 2026-10-26T00:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Atlas vs Puebla match analysis

What is the Atlas vs Puebla prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Atlas (H) at 57.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 81.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:13+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 57.3%

Medium
1 57.3%X 23.9%2 18.8%
Double chance

1X · 81.2%

Low
1X 81.2%X2 42.7%12 76.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:13+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 57.3%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings48.3%30.8%20.8%
Market · margin removed57.3%23.9%18.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson45.9%27.0%27.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-22. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Atlas

DWDWL

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-22Club America (H)2–5
2026-10-17Necaxa (A)2–0
2026-10-11Guadalajara Chivas (H)1–1
2026-09-26Club Tijuana (A)3–2
2026-09-20UNAM Pumas (H)1–1

Puebla

DLDDL

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-22Monterrey (H)1–4
2026-10-17Club Tijuana (A)0–0
2026-10-10Club Leon (H)1–1
2026-09-27Tigres UANL (A)0–1
2026-09-19Atlante (H)1–1

Head to head

2026-01-10 · Atlas 1–0 Puebla

2025-07-12 · Puebla 2–3 Atlas

2025-02-15 · Atlas 3–2 Puebla

2024-07-20 · Puebla 1–2 Atlas

2024-03-09 · Puebla 2–2 Atlas

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:57:13+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-22
Data fingerprint: 560c84a055eb93e5b2e2da1cb0124a97c83e67f4815cffd91b1536587da9888d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →