Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-SC prediction
C
2026-09-19 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-09-19T19:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-SC prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Atletico-MG (H) at 68.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 89.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:03:37+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 68.8%
Medium1X · 89.6%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:03:37+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 68.8%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 55.5% | 27.3% | 17.3% |
| Market · margin removed | 68.8% | 20.8% | 10.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 65.9% | 20.5% | 13.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-16
Data fingerprint: 26803dfb4c0754fd66b47283c405c54c5837d9e8b99ba3af153d48ef8bdd0e64
Model: existing-source-policy-v1