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Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction

2026-10-24 · D1 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T13:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Augsburg vs Union Berlin match analysis

What is the Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Augsburg (H) at 52.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 76.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 52.1%

Low
1 52.1%X 24.0%2 23.9%
Double chance

1X · 76.1%

Low
1X 76.1%X2 47.9%12 76.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:36+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 52.1%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings40.4%34.8%24.8%
Market · margin removed52.1%24.0%23.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson43.8%26.4%29.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Augsburg

WDLDL

Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-17Elversberg (A)3–4
2026-10-10Bayern Munich (H)2–2
2026-09-19Werder Bremen (A)2–3
2026-09-12Leverkusen (H)2–2
2026-09-06Ein Frankfurt (A)4–1

Union Berlin

LLLWD

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-17Dortmund (H)0–0
2026-10-10Elversberg (H)1–0
2026-09-18Bayern Munich (A)0–7
2026-09-11Schalke 04 (H)1–3
2026-09-05Leverkusen (A)0–4

Head to head

2026-05-16 · Union Berlin 4–0 Augsburg

2026-01-15 · Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin

2025-05-17 · Augsburg 1–2 Union Berlin

2025-01-15 · Union Berlin 0–2 Augsburg

2024-04-12 · Augsburg 2–0 Union Berlin

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:09:36+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: c8df41ec4adb8380acae10d2e7268b39dc20931c00fb0cc6dad6141ee14c799e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →