Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz prediction
SG2026-10-10 · AUT · Kickoff 2026-10-10T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Sturm Graz (A) at 46.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 46.0%
Low12 · 73.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:36+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 46.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 12%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 27.6% | 37.6% | 34.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 27.9% | 26.2% | 46.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 39.3% | 25.6% | 35.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Austria Vienna
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Sturm Graz
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-26 · Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Vienna
2026-03-15 · Austria Vienna 2–5 Sturm Graz
2025-12-14 · Austria Vienna 3–1 Sturm Graz
2025-09-14 · Sturm Graz 0–1 Austria Vienna
2025-04-27 · Sturm Graz 0–1 Austria Vienna
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 69836bf347c15eb5c26608e9129a06709f1c3e439bdb0e84b1c9f70b2ff9b462
Model: existing-source-policy-v1