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Ayr vs Dunfermline prediction

2026-10-10 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Ayr vs Dunfermline match analysis

What is the Ayr vs Dunfermline prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Dunfermline (A) at 43.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:41+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 43.1%

Low
1 29.2%X 27.7%2 43.1%
Double chance

12 · 72.3%

Low
1X 56.9%X2 70.8%12 72.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:41+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 43.1%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings30.3%39.8%29.8%
Market · margin removed29.2%27.7%43.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson44.6%26.9%28.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Ayr

LLWLW

Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-03Livingston (A)2–1
2026-09-25Stenhousemuir (H)0–1
2026-09-18Queens Park (A)2–0
2026-09-12Inverness C (H)1–3
2026-09-05Partick (A)0–1

Dunfermline

LWDWW

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 0.60
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-09-19Morton (A)1–0
2026-09-12Queens Park (H)2–0
2026-09-05Arbroath (A)1–1
2026-08-28Raith Rvs (H)1–0
2026-08-22Livingston (A)0–2

Head to head

2026-08-08 · Dunfermline 1–1 Ayr

2026-04-07 · Ayr 0–3 Dunfermline

2025-12-20 · Dunfermline 2–3 Ayr

2025-10-31 · Ayr 0–1 Dunfermline

2025-09-23 · Dunfermline 0–1 Ayr

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:41+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-03
Data fingerprint: 4019e90b7fe4b7d44f8d04136f15815675aa7e154384d05a0729e870d2121468
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →