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Ayr vs Partick prediction

2026-10-16 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-10-16T18:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Ayr vs Partick match analysis

What is the Ayr vs Partick prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Partick (A) at 55.6%. The double-chance call is X2 at 79.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:40:10+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 55.6%

Low
1 20.6%X 23.8%2 55.6%
Double chance

X2 · 79.4%

Low
1X 44.4%X2 79.4%12 76.2%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:40:10+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 55.6%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 19%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings24.8%34.8%40.4%
Market · margin removed20.6%23.8%55.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson37.7%25.3%37.0%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-13. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Ayr

LWLWD

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-10Dunfermline (H)1–1
2026-10-03Livingston (A)2–1
2026-09-25Stenhousemuir (H)0–1
2026-09-18Queens Park (A)2–0
2026-09-12Inverness C (H)1–3

Partick

WLDWW

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 0.40
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-10-10Livingston (A)2–1
2026-10-03Arbroath (H)3–0
2026-09-19Raith Rvs (H)0–0
2026-09-15Stenhousemuir (A)0–1
2026-09-05Ayr (H)1–0

Head to head

2026-09-05 · Partick 1–0 Ayr

2026-04-04 · Ayr 1–1 Partick

2026-01-24 · Partick 2–1 Ayr

2025-12-06 · Ayr 0–0 Partick

2025-10-21 · Partick 2–1 Ayr

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:40:10+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-13
Data fingerprint: 11c61aaffc2487e928913a7719032794364f5c006c5ee2ba68a5d69606b98d65
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →