Ayr vs Queens Park prediction
QP2026-10-31 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Ayr vs Queens Park prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Ayr (H) at 53.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 78.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:52+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 53.5%
Low1X · 78.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:52+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 53.5%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 41.8% | 34.1% | 24.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 53.5% | 25.3% | 21.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 51.8% | 23.5% | 24.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-27. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Ayr
Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Queens Park
Scored / game: 0.50
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-09-18 · Queens Park 0–2 Ayr
2026-03-14 · Queens Park 1–1 Ayr
2026-03-10 · Ayr 1–2 Queens Park
2025-10-25 · Queens Park 0–0 Ayr
2025-08-30 · Ayr 1–1 Queens Park
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-27
Data fingerprint: 208222d61291981c278fcc9500836440f1f96019f98993c4a3fe768b1bc8ba1c
Model: existing-source-policy-v1