Ayr vs Stenhousemuir prediction
S2026-09-25 · SC1 · Kickoff 2026-09-25T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Ayr vs Stenhousemuir prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Ayr (H) at 42.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 71.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-25T08:31:11+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 42.6%
Low12 · 71.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-25T08:31:11+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 42.6%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 28%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.9% | 36.9% | 36.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 42.6% | 28.2% | 29.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 16.2% | 26.9% | 56.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: c4448306c4bb46d88bf8fa6ceaf5b12673dffe4c218333d667edaf51ecd7a8c3
Model: existing-source-policy-v1