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AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction

2026-11-08 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T15:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen match analysis

What is the AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: AZ Alkmaar (H) at 62.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 83.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:28:03+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 4–3

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 62.6%

Low
1 62.6%X 20.5%2 16.9%
Double chance

1X · 83.1%

Low
1X 83.1%X2 37.4%12 79.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:28:03+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 62.6%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings45.6%32.2%22.2%
Market · margin removed62.6%20.5%16.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson67.4%18.8%13.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

AZ Alkmaar

WLDLL

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-31Ajax (A)0–1
2026-10-25Twente (H)0–2
2026-10-18Cambuur (A)2–2
2026-10-10Feyenoord (A)0–2
2026-09-20Telstar (H)1–0

Groningen

WWLDL

Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 2.30
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-11-01Sparta Rotterdam (H)2–3
2026-10-25Nijmegen (A)2–2
2026-10-18Ajax (H)2–5
2026-10-11Excelsior (A)5–1
2026-09-18Zwolle (H)3–0

Head to head

2026-03-22 · Groningen 3–0 AZ Alkmaar

2025-08-10 · AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Groningen

2025-05-11 · AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Groningen

2024-08-25 · Groningen 0–0 AZ Alkmaar

2023-03-11 · AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Groningen

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:28:03+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: b37ac04401fc4b139a0306049aa6e105109371e7d6c276fb2f716e1cacf1120f
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →