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Bahia vs Flamengo RJ prediction

2026-10-18 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-10-18T21:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Bahia vs Flamengo RJ match analysis

What is the Bahia vs Flamengo RJ prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Flamengo RJ (A) at 46.6%. The double-chance call is X2 at 73.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:14+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–3

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 46.6%

Low
1 26.7%X 26.7%2 46.6%
Double chance

X2 · 73.3%

Low
1X 53.4%X2 73.3%12 73.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:14+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 46.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 10%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings25.3%35.3%39.4%
Market · margin removed26.7%26.7%46.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson35.3%26.9%37.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-13. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Bahia

WWLLW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-11Mirassol (H)1–0
2026-10-09Palmeiras (A)0–1
2026-09-20Athletico-PR (A)1–2
2026-09-15Remo (H)2–1
2026-09-05Bragantino (A)3–2

Flamengo RJ

WWWDW

Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-11Fluminense (H)1–0
2026-10-08Santos (A)2–2
2026-09-20Bragantino (H)2–1
2026-09-13Corinthians (H)2–1
2026-09-06Remo (A)1–0

Head to head

2026-04-19 · Flamengo RJ 2–0 Bahia

2025-10-05 · Bahia 1–0 Flamengo RJ

2025-05-11 · Flamengo RJ 1–0 Bahia

2024-10-05 · Bahia 0–2 Flamengo RJ

2024-06-21 · Flamengo RJ 2–1 Bahia

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:14+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-13
Data fingerprint: c961dbf47739f593e90c40c7edd255e9902c0a280a1e47b83e0eb5fe23cbc880
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →