Basel vs St. Gallen prediction
SG
2026-09-20 · SWZ · Kickoff 2026-09-20T14:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Basel vs St. Gallen prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: St. Gallen (A) at 39.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 77.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:28:52+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–3
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 39.6%
Low12 · 77.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:28:52+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 39.6%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 27%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 34.2% | 37.9% | 27.9% |
| Market · margin removed | 37.9% | 22.4% | 39.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 60.8% | 20.4% | 18.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-16
Data fingerprint: c1ebe55b32b58f05fbf298677cd16cee6880d7d27792afa0cf6a9b391995322a
Model: existing-source-policy-v1