Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast prediction
QWC2026-10-18 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-18T11:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Beijing Guoan (H) at 68.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 87.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 68.5%
Low1X · 87.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:18+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 68.5%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 23%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 45.9% | 32.0% | 22.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 68.5% | 19.0% | 12.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 62.9% | 20.6% | 16.5% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Beijing Guoan
Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Qingdao West Coast
Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-19 · Qingdao West Coast 1–1 Beijing Guoan
2025-08-16 · Qingdao West Coast 1–3 Beijing Guoan
2025-06-17 · Beijing Guoan 1–0 Qingdao West Coast
2024-08-11 · Qingdao West Coast 2–2 Beijing Guoan
2024-04-21 · Beijing Guoan 4–1 Qingdao West Coast
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: d44094913d52ca75d489365f458f6705b314be8623ee396046ea05c5d78b004e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1