Benevento vs Avellino prediction
A2026-11-07 · I2 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T18:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Benevento vs Avellino prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Benevento (H) at 51.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:59+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 51.2%
Low1X · 77.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:59+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 51.2%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 29.9% | 39.9% | 30.3% |
| Market · margin removed | 51.2% | 26.7% | 22.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 41.4% | 28.6% | 30.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Benevento
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Avellino
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: 596e2e50154fe05b14570efdc87e89a7cdb1124e6d95704f983f35d766bb8a99
Model: existing-source-policy-v1