Benfica vs Alverca prediction

2026-11-02 · P1 · Kickoff 2026-11-02T20:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Benfica vs Alverca match analysis

Full time: 1–0

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-02T19:15:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-11-02T19:07:24+00:00. 7.6 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-02T19:15:09+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 87.1%

✓ Correct

1 87.1%2 4.4%X 8.5%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 95.6%

✓ Correct

12 91.5%1X 95.6%X2 12.9%

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-12T03:47:24+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Benfica	N/A	100.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Alverca	N/A	0.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$631.35K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$460.88K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 100.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw

Probability movement · raw market prices

Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.

Benfica

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample+50.5 pp49.5% → 100.0%

Draw

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample-50.5 pp50.5% → 0.0%

Alverca

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sample-49.5 pp49.5% → 0.0%

All event markets · 3

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%

Volume $322.70K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5980848
Fetched 2026-11-12T03:47:24+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-03T23:44:07.521494Z

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $35.13K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5980849
Fetched 2026-11-12T03:47:24+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-03T22:28:08.630235Z

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-11-02?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $273.52K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5980850
Fetched 2026-11-12T03:47:24+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-03T23:38:08.733023Z

Historical closing observations (not scored)

Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.

Last pre-match observation: 2026-11-02T20:07:06+00:00.

View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.

No pre-match forecast was published. This fixture remains in the coverage count and cannot receive a backdated forecast.

View the complete prediction record →