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Birmingham vs Swansea prediction

2026-11-07 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Birmingham vs Swansea match analysis

What is the Birmingham vs Swansea prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Birmingham (H) at 52.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 52.2%

Low
1 52.2%X 25.7%2 22.1%
Double chance

1X · 77.9%

Low
1X 77.9%X2 47.8%12 74.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 52.2%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 18%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings34.6%37.7%27.7%
Market · margin removed52.2%25.7%22.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson41.5%27.1%31.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-04. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Birmingham

WWLWW

Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-11-03Millwall (H)3–0
2026-10-31Lincoln (A)3–1
2026-10-24Cardiff (A)0–1
2026-10-17QPR (H)3–0
2026-10-13Preston (H)4–0

Swansea

WLLWL

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-11-03Portsmouth (A)1–3
2026-10-31Blackburn (H)4–0
2026-10-24QPR (A)0–5
2026-10-17West Ham (H)0–1
2026-10-13Millwall (A)1–0

Head to head

2026-01-17 · Swansea 1–1 Birmingham

2025-09-20 · Birmingham 1–0 Swansea

2024-01-13 · Birmingham 2–2 Swansea

2023-08-05 · Swansea 1–1 Birmingham

2023-02-04 · Swansea 3–4 Birmingham

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:42+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-04
Data fingerprint: 487925f8c67b5d9df031af7e6dd1902737f4d5041d15604e1d0762ee1b54ebf9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →