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Blackburn vs Stoke prediction

2026-11-03 · E1 · Kickoff 2026-11-03T19:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Blackburn vs Stoke match analysis

What is the Blackburn vs Stoke prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Blackburn (H) at 37.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.2%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-03T10:36:21+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 37.9%

Low
1 37.9%X 27.8%2 34.3%
Double chance

12 · 72.2%

Low
1X 65.7%X2 62.1%12 72.2%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-03T10:36:21+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 37.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 9%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings36.1%36.9%26.9%
Market · margin removed37.9%27.8%34.3%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson42.2%28.6%29.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-31. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Blackburn

WWLWL

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-31Swansea (A)0–4
2026-10-24Wrexham (H)2–0
2026-10-17West Brom (A)2–3
2026-10-13Bristol City (A)1–0
2026-10-10Cardiff (H)2–1

Stoke

WLWDW

Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-31Preston (H)2–0
2026-10-24Bristol City (H)0–0
2026-10-17Derby (A)1–0
2026-10-13Middlesbrough (H)2–3
2026-10-10Bolton (A)2–1

Head to head

2026-04-11 · Stoke 1–1 Blackburn

2025-10-04 · Blackburn 1–1 Stoke

2025-03-12 · Stoke 1–0 Blackburn

2024-11-06 · Blackburn 0–2 Stoke

2024-02-10 · Blackburn 3–1 Stoke

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-03T10:36:21+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-31
Data fingerprint: 5462217048d058a8f72e84c1f876646e5c035fc74beb62d3a98a3e6e7a1142e8
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →