Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia prediction
DyJ2026-11-07 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-11-07T20:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Boca Juniors (H) at 69.1%. The double-chance call is 1X at 90.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:02+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 69.1%
Medium1X · 90.1%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:02+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 69.1%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 20%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 49.2% | 30.4% | 20.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 69.1% | 21.0% | 9.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 55.8% | 25.1% | 19.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Boca Juniors
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Defensa y Justicia
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-24 · Defensa y Justicia 0–4 Boca Juniors
2025-09-27 · Defensa y Justicia 2–1 Boca Juniors
2025-03-16 · Boca Juniors 4–0 Defensa y Justicia
2024-07-22 · Defensa y Justicia 2–2 Boca Juniors
2024-02-10 · Boca Juniors 0–0 Defensa y Justicia
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-03
Data fingerprint: 985f33b54fcd9b925a539c984bf15a77f25434827ecace31e409b49864eaec55
Model: existing-source-policy-v1