Bohemians vs Shelbourne prediction
S2026-10-23 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-10-23T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Bohemians vs Shelbourne prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Bohemians (H) at 57.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 80.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:10+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 57.7%
Medium1X · 80.8%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:10+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 57.7%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 19%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 39.1% | 35.4% | 25.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 57.7% | 23.1% | 19.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 45.0% | 28.3% | 26.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Bohemians
Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Shelbourne
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-06-22 · Shelbourne 0–3 Bohemians
2026-05-04 · Bohemians 2–2 Shelbourne
2026-03-16 · Shelbourne 0–0 Bohemians
2025-10-26 · Bohemians 2–3 Shelbourne
2025-08-09 · Shelbourne 2–2 Bohemians
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: e9318a26ff391702db03b6e1c4e49540d590e0a431e704956c5994092016f322
Model: existing-source-policy-v1