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Bohemians vs Waterford prediction

2026-10-16 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-10-16T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Bohemians vs Waterford match analysis

What is the Bohemians vs Waterford prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Bohemians (H) at 59.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 80.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:32+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 59.8%

Medium
1 59.8%X 20.9%2 19.3%
Double chance

1X · 80.7%

Medium
1X 80.7%X2 40.2%12 79.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:32+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 59.8%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 13%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings46.4%31.8%21.8%
Market · margin removed59.8%20.9%19.3%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson50.3%25.2%24.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Bohemians

WWWWL

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-12Shamrock Rovers (A)1–2
2026-10-02Dundalk (A)2–1
2026-09-18Drogheda (H)2–1
2026-09-11Galway (A)3–2
2026-08-28Sligo Rovers (H)3–0

Waterford

DWDDL

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-09-18Shamrock Rovers (A)2–3
2026-09-14Derry City (H)2–2
2026-09-11Dundalk (H)1–1
2026-08-28St. Patricks (A)2–0
2026-08-21Sligo Rovers (A)0–0

Head to head

2026-08-09 · Waterford 3–1 Bohemians

2026-04-06 · Bohemians 1–1 Waterford

2026-03-06 · Waterford 0–1 Bohemians

2025-09-19 · Bohemians 2–1 Waterford

2025-06-20 · Waterford 2–1 Bohemians

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:32+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 085e3a63349a2de6dde45cfd1f9428a6bf94e9587cb2bc2ef8c7c86e7d8db030
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →