Bologna vs Monza prediction
M2026-10-31 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Bologna vs Monza prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Bologna (H) at 56.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 80.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:34+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 56.7%
Medium1X · 80.9%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:34+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 56.7%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 5%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 55.4% | 27.3% | 17.3% |
| Market · margin removed | 56.7% | 24.2% | 19.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 59.2% | 22.7% | 18.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-29. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Bologna
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Monza
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2025-01-18 · Bologna 3–1 Monza
2024-09-22 · Monza 1–2 Bologna
2024-04-13 · Bologna 0–0 Monza
2023-09-28 · Monza 0–0 Bologna
2023-02-12 · Bologna 0–1 Monza
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-29
Data fingerprint: 6de666200529da72f8583f25ddb8f8f017dafcddc3c40b5b071f4efbe92076cf
Model: existing-source-policy-v1