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Botafogo RJ vs Atletico-MG prediction

2026-11-05 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-11-05T00:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Botafogo RJ vs Atletico-MG match analysis

What is the Botafogo RJ vs Atletico-MG prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Botafogo RJ (H) at 50.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 76.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-03T10:36:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 50.2%

Low
1 50.2%X 26.0%2 23.9%
Double chance

1X · 76.1%

Low
1X 76.1%X2 49.8%12 74.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-03T10:36:18+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 50.2%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings33.1%38.5%28.5%
Market · margin removed50.2%26.0%23.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson42.4%26.8%30.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-30. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Botafogo RJ

LDWLL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-29Remo (A)1–2
2026-10-24Internacional (A)0–3
2026-10-17Chapecoense-SC (H)1–0
2026-10-12Coritiba (A)1–1
2026-10-08Vasco (H)1–2

Atletico-MG

DWWLL

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-29Cruzeiro (H)0–1
2026-10-26Flamengo RJ (A)2–3
2026-10-17Coritiba (H)1–0
2026-10-11Santos (H)2–1
2026-10-09Athletico-PR (A)2–2

Head to head

2026-05-10 · Atletico-MG 1–1 Botafogo RJ

2025-09-20 · Botafogo RJ 1–0 Atletico-MG

2025-04-20 · Atletico-MG 1–0 Botafogo RJ

2024-11-21 · Atletico-MG 0–0 Botafogo RJ

2024-07-08 · Botafogo RJ 3–0 Atletico-MG

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-03T10:36:18+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-30
Data fingerprint: bc917cf76d0474623cd8215de208024fe190ee99d7d3538658c18e7025471e54
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →