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Burgos vs Celta B prediction

2026-11-07 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Burgos vs Celta B match analysis

What is the Burgos vs Celta B prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Burgos (H) at 58.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 83.0%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:28:11+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 58.6%

Medium
1 58.6%X 24.4%2 17.0%
Double chance

1X · 83.0%

Medium
1X 83.0%X2 41.4%12 75.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:28:11+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 58.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings46.9%31.5%21.5%
Market · margin removed58.6%24.4%17.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson54.0%23.7%22.3%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Burgos

LLWWD

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-11-01Castellon (H)1–1
2026-10-26Andorra (A)3–2
2026-10-18Sabadell (H)1–0
2026-10-12Granada (H)0–1
2026-10-03Almeria (A)1–2

Celta B

LWDLD

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-31Cordoba (H)2–2
2026-10-24Girona (A)1–5
2026-10-19Tenerife (H)1–1
2026-10-10Sociedad B (H)4–1
2026-10-04Sp Gijon (A)2–3

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:28:11+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: ff85fb71cc858931fb760706bbcebe97213b210217b01940ecd3a7df868d4bf2
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →