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Cadiz vs Sp Gijon prediction

2026-10-11 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-11T19:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Cadiz vs Sp Gijon match analysis

What is the Cadiz vs Sp Gijon prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Cadiz (H) at 37.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 70.7%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:49+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 37.7%

Low
1 37.7%X 29.3%2 32.9%
Double chance

12 · 70.7%

Low
1X 67.1%X2 62.3%12 70.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:49+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 37.7%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings27.2%37.2%35.6%
Market · margin removed37.7%29.3%32.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson40.4%27.1%32.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-05. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Cadiz

LLLDW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-03Leganes (H)4–0
2026-09-26Tenerife (A)1–1
2026-09-19Girona (H)1–2
2026-09-12Las Palmas (H)0–1
2026-09-06Almeria (A)2–3

Sp Gijon

LLWLW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-04Celta B (H)3–2
2026-09-27Oviedo (A)0–2
2026-09-19Andorra (A)3–1
2026-09-13Eldense (H)0–1
2026-09-05Girona (H)0–2

Head to head

2026-04-19 · Sp Gijon 3–0 Cadiz

2026-01-09 · Cadiz 3–2 Sp Gijon

2025-04-25 · Cadiz 1–0 Sp Gijon

2024-11-02 · Sp Gijon 2–0 Cadiz

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:49+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-05
Data fingerprint: 111fee2610cb09e2777347deba22575e97d82bd8c3f5aad6d57876dee47e48bb
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →